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BOINC

About the climateprediction.net project

The aim of climateprediction.net is to investigate the approximations that have to be made in state-of-the-art climate models (read more about this). By running the model thousands of times (a 'large ensemble') we hope to find out how the model responds to slight tweaks to these approximations - slight enough to not make the approximations any less realistic. This will allow us to improve our understanding of how sensitive our models are to small changes and also to things like changes in carbon dioxide and the sulphur cycle. This will allow us to explore how climate may change in the next century under a wide range of different scenarios. In the past estimates of climate change have had to be made using one or, at best, a very small ensemble (tens rather than thousands!) of model runs. By using your computers, we will be able to improve our understanding of, and confidence in, climate change predictions more than would ever be possible using the supercomputers currently available to scientists.


The climateprediction.net experiment should help to "improve methods to quantify uncertainties of climate projections and scenarios, including long-term ensemble simulations using complex models", identified by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in 2001 as a high priority. Hopefully, the experiment will give decision makers a better scientific basis for addressing one of the biggest potential global problems of the 21st century.

To help make participation in climateprediction.net more rewarding and fun, we are developing educational resources to help participants learn more about what their model is telling them. These include materials for schools, an Open University short course, and a lively, interactive web-based community where participants can compare discuss, analyse and learn about their model runs.

There is a very wide range in predicted temperatures for the 21st century. Source:IPCC Third Assessment Report

The climateprediction.net experiment is funded jointly by the NERC and DTI e-Science programmes (for more details, see 'Our sponsors' page).


More About Climateprediction.net

The following are articles, events and webcasts relating to climateprediction.net. For press coverage, please see the In The News page, and for scientific publications, design papers and public presentations, please see our Publications page.

  • 2006 virtual project Open Day featuring key project staff talking about their work and answering questions raised on the discussion boards.
  • Interview with Professor Bob Spicer from the Open University, describing the project (with thanks to E-TV, The Technology Channel).
  • The climateprediction.net team in action at the Royal Society Summer Science Exhibition, 2005.
  • An article about BOINC and climateprediction.net by students at Cornell University, USA.



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